The next word has odds
Imagine a model continuing “The patch is”. Its possible next words might include “ready”, “late” and “broken”. Picture a bowl of word tiles. If “ready” has more weight than the others, it is more likely to be drawn. Once a tile is chosen, the model works out new odds for the next choice. Real models make these choices with tokens, which can be parts of words. This is the step-by-step generation process described in Holtzman and colleagues’ paper.
Temperature shifts those odds
Temperature changes the probabilities before each draw. The paper defines it by dividing each candidate’s score by the temperature, then converting the scores into probabilities. A lower positive temperature puts more weight on the leading choices. A higher one spreads weight toward less likely choices. The order of the candidates stays the same. Temperature changes how often each eligible choice may appear; it does not give the model new knowledge.
A different draw is no guarantee
A higher temperature can change the wording while the model and prompt stay fixed. It cannot promise an original idea or a useful answer. The most likely choice can still be drawn. A less likely choice can also send the continuation off course.
In the paper’s open-ended generation tests, lower temperature reduced diversity, while broader sampling risked less coherent text. Those results describe the models and methods the authors tested. For more predictable wording, try a lower setting. For more varied drafts, try a higher one. Read the result either way.

The Campfire
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